Big Macro Picture with Luke Gromen, Lyn Alden and Travis Kling

Big Macro Picture with Luke Gromen, Lyn Alden and Travis Kling

Directly from Day 1 of Real Vision's Crypto Gathering, Lyn Alden, founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy, and Luke Gromen, president and founder of Forest for the Trees, are hosted by Travis Kling, founder of Ikigai Asset Management. This session sets up the entire event by covering the current macroeconomic situation and its relationship with crypto as well as what our guests think lies ahead for the space.

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Year 2020 Highlights

January Highlights

BTC +30%

  • CME Launches Regulated Bitcoin Options

  • Former CFTC Chair Creates Nonprofit to Promote Digital Dollar Creation

  • World Economic Forum Announces Mission to Focus on Innovation & Governance of Stablecoins

  • Genesis Capital Announces $3.1bn In Crypto Loans in 2019

  • WisdomTree Leads $18m Series A for Security Token Platform Securrency

  • WisdomTree Announces Plans to Launch Regulated US Stablecoin

  • SEC Highlights Crypto Priorities For 2020

  • Libra Forms Five Member Technical Committee to Oversee Development

  • Square Awarded Patent For Fiat-To-Crypto Payments Network

  • Telegram Refuses to Show Bank Records in Case Against SEC

  • Qatar Bans Crypto Trading


February Highlights

BTC -8%

  • Bitcoin Price Has “Golden Cross”

  • Fed Chair Powell Testifies to Congress About CBDCs and Libra

  • Treasury Secretary Mnuchin Testifies to Senate That FinCEN Is Rolling Out Crypto Regulations Soon

  • Swedish Central Bank Begins Tests Blockchain-based Digital Currency

  • Shopify Joins Libra Project

  • SEC Commissioner Peirce Proposes 3-Year Safe Harbor for Token Sales

  • Bitcoin Lender BlockFi Raises $30m Series B

  • Coronavirus Delays Launch of China’s Digital Currency DCEP

  • JPMorgan in Talks to Merge Blockchain Business with Consensys


March Highlights

BTC -25%

  • Facebook Revamps Libra, Conceding to Regulators

  • India’s Top Court Strikes Down Laws That Outlawed Cryptocurrencies

  • South Korea Parliament Votes to Enact New Crypto Regulation

  • Bitmex Experiences “Black Thursday”, Nearly Collapsing

  • U.S. Comptroller Names Former Coinbase Exec As COO

  • Fiscal Stimulus Bill Includes and Then Removes Digital Dollar Language

  • SEC Calls Telegram A Likely Security Issuance, Halts Token Issuance


April Highlights

BTC +34%

  • A16Z Crypto Raises $515mm Second Fund

  • Renaissance Technologies Begins Trading CME Bitcoin Futures

  • China Rolls Out Testing of DCEP App

  • Facebook Further Redefines Libra, Releasing New Whitepaper

  • Congress Introduces 32 Bills Relating to Cryptocurrency & Blockchain

  • Binance Acquires CoinMarketCap for $300-$400mm


May Highlights

BTC +9%

  • Paul Tudor Jones Takes Significant Bitcoin Position, Publishes Thesis

  • JPMorgan Extends Banking Services to Coinbase and Gemini Trust

  • Square’s Cash App Bitcoin Q/Q Volume Grows To $306mm from $178mm

  • Genesis Acquires Custodian To Launch Prime Brokerage Business

  • Genesis Loan Book Increases $2bn in Q1

  • BitGo Launches Prime Brokerage Business

  • Coinbase Acquires Tagomi for $70-$100mm

  • Coinbase Custody Begins Accepting Tether

  • ErisX Launches First CFTC Regulated ETH Future

  • FTX Launches US Exchange

  • Facebook Rebrands Libra Wallet from Calibra To Novi

  • Telegram ICO Cancels Project & Returns Funds to Investors


June Highlights

BTC -3%

  • PayPal, Venmo to Roll Out Crypto Buying and Selling

  • NYDFS Proposes New Rules Making BitLicenses Easier to Apply For

  • SEC Commissioner Hester Pierce Is Nominated for Second Term

  • Bloomberg Senior Commodity Strategist Calls For $20,000 in 2020

  • Former CFTC Chair Testifies to Congress on Digital Dollar

  • Three Arrows Capital Files 13G – Owns >6% of GBTC  

  • Bitcoin Bank River Financial Raises $5.7mm


July Highlights

BTC +24%

  • Office of the Comptroller of the Currency Allowing Banks to Custody Crypto

  • Bitcoin Deemed Money in Federal Court Under Money Transmitters Act

  • Mastercard Expands Program to Allow More Crypto Firms to Issue Cards

  • VISA Unveils Roadmap to Further Integration with Bitcoin and Other Crypto

  • Paypal Chooses Paxos Exchange For Crypto Trading Business

  • Chinese Police Arrest 27 Alleged Masterminds Behind Plus Token Scam

  • Massive Twitter Back-end Hack Utilizes Simplistic Bitcoin Scam


August Highlights

BTC +3%

  • MicroStrategy Buys $250mm of Bitcoin, First Public Company to Do So 

  • SEC Confirms “Crypto Mom” Hester Peirce As Commissioner Through 2025

  • FTX Acquires Blockfolio for $150mm

  • Square Reports Record $858mm of BTC Purchased in Q2 Via Cash App

  • Grayscale Reports Record $751mm of Inflows into GBTC in Q2

  • Coinbase Begins the Process of A Direct Listing IPO

  • Digital Currency Group Commits $100mm for North America Bitcoin Mining

  • IRS Releases Memo Saying Crypto Payments for Microtasking Is Taxable

  • Tether Daily Value Transfer Tops Paypal

  • Coinbase to Offer Bitcoin-Backed Loans to US Customers

  • Fed Partners with MIT to Develop “Hypothetical Digital Currency”

  • Goldman Hires New Head of Digital Assets, Contemplates Stablecoin Plans

  • USPS Files Patent for Blockchain-Based Secure Voting System


September Highlights

BTC -8%

  • BitMEX Charged by CFTC and DoJ For Illegal Trading Operations and AML Violations

  • MicroStrategy Buys $175mm More Bitcoin, Brings Total to $425mm 

  • Bermuda Stock Exchange Approves Listing of World’s First Bitcoin ETF

  • US State Bank Regulators Agree to Blanket Set of Rules for Money Transmitter Licenses

  • Kraken Wins Bank Charter in Wyoming, First Ever for Crypto Company

  • OCC Allows Federally Chartered Banks to Custody Stablecoin Reserve Accounts

  • Gemini Announces Support for Shielded Zcash Withdrawals

  • BitMEX and Binance Both Update Trading Operations To Prevent Spoofing

  • Asian Crypto Exchange KuCoin Hacked for $150mm in Crypto

  • Libra Co-Founder Morgan Beller Leaves Libra to Join VC Fund


October Highlights

BTC +28%

  • PayPal & Venmo Introduce Cryptocurrency Buying, Selling & Shopping

  • Public Company Square Buys $50mm of Bitcoin on Balance Sheet

  • Singapore’s Largest Bank DBS Announces Crypto Exchange & Custody

  • PayPal Rumored To Be Acquiring Leading Custodian BitGo

  • JPMorgan Launches Digital Asset Business Unit, Rumored to Buy Custodian

  • Franklin Templeton Invests in Series A Round of Crypto Custodian Curv

  • Stone Ridge’s NYDIG Raises $50mm, Announces 10,000 BTC in Custody

  • Chairman Powell Says CBDC Could Improve US Payments

  • CFTC Chairman Makes Highly Positive Public Remarks About Ethereum

  • US Attorney General Releases Cryptocurrency Enforcement Framework

  • US National Security Council Names DLT As One of Twenty Focus Areas

  • FCA Bans Sale of Crypto Derivatives to UK Retail Customers

  • OKex Founder Arrested by Chinese Government, Withdrawals Suspended

  • BitMEX Implements Strict KYC Regulations After CFTC & DoJ Charges

  • FinCEN Fines Bitcoin Mixing Operator Helix $60mm

  • Iran Government to Use Iranian-Mined Bitcoin For Payments

  • 2017 $257mm ICO Filecoin Launches   


November Highlights

BTC +43%

  • Stanley Druckenmiller Announces Bitcoin Position

  • Bill Miller Strongly Recommends Bitcoin

  • Citigroup Research Publishes YE 2021 BTC Price Target as High as $318k

  • Blackrock Fixed Income CIO Rick Rieder Says Bitcoin Could Replace Gold

  • Guggenheim Files to Buy Up to 10% GBTC Position in $5.3bn Macro Fund

  • BTIG Research Publishes YE 2021 BTC Price Target of $50k

  • AllianceBernstein Recommends Allocation to Crypto

  • Skybridge Files SEC Amendment to Invest in Bitcoin with $3.6bn Fund

  • Ray Dalio Says He “Might Be Missing Something” With Bitcoin

  • Niall Ferguson Writes Bloomberg Opinion “Bitcoin Is Winning the Covid-19 Monetary Revolution”

  • Square Reports Q3 Bitcoin Revenue and Gross Profit +11x & 15x YoY

  • Wyoming Elects Bitcoin Bull Cynthia Lummis As US Senator

  • Jay Clayton Steps Down as SEC Chairman

  • Alameda Research & FTX Founder Sam Bankman-Fried Donates $5mm To Biden Campaign

  • OCC’s Brian Brooks Testifies to Senate on Importance of Crypto

  • China Construction Bank to Issue $3bn in Bonds on a Blockchain, Tradeable for Bitcoin and Dollars

  • OKex Exchange Resumes Withdrawals After More Than A Month Frozen


December Highlights

BTC +48%

  • MicroStrategy Announces $400mm Convert to Buy Bitcoin; Upsizes to $550mm; Closes $650mm

  • MicroStrategy Buys $650mm Bitcoin at $21,925

  • MassMutual Buys $100mm of Bitcoin and Minority Stake in NYDIG

  • $27bn AUM Hedge Fund Ruffer Announces $740mm Bitcoin Position

  • One River Asset Management Announces $600mm Bitcoin Purchase, Commitment to $1bn

  • MicroStrategy Buys $50mm of Bitcoin at $19,427 Average Price

  • JPMorgan Estimates A 1% Allocation to BTC From Pensions and Insurance Companies Would Require $600bn of Buying

  • Guggenheim CIO Scott Miners Says Bitcoin Fundamental Value Is $400,000

  • NFL Player Russell Okung To Receive Half of $13mm Salary in Bitcoin

  • Coinbase Files S-1

  • CME Announces Ethereum Futures Product to Launch February 2021

  • Bitwise 10 Becomes First Publicly Traded Crypto Index

  • JPMorgan Says Gold Will Suffer for Years Because of Bitcoin

  • Fidelity Digital to Hold Bitcoin as Collateral for Cash Loans

  • Jefferies Head of Global Equity Strategy Cuts Gold Exposure for Bitcoin

  • SkyBridge Capital Registers Fund to Buy Bitcoin and Buys $182mm

  • Standard Chartered bank to Launch Crypto Trading

  • BBVA To Launch Crypto Services

  • Visa Partners with USDC and Adds 60 Million Merchants

  • S&P Dow Jones To Launch Crypto Indexes in 2021

  • Spotify Hiring for Crypto Payments Project Leader

  • SBI Financial Services Acquires Crypto Trading Firm B2C2

  • American Express Ventures Invests in Crypto Trading Platform FalconX

  • Bitso Raises $62mm to Expand Crypto Footprint in Brazil

  • Tether Surpasses $20bn Market Cap

  • Bitcoin Chart Tops 3.4mm Views on TradingView in November, +80% Since October

  • Warren Davidson and Three Other Congressmen Write Public Letter to Mnuchin in Protest of Heavy-Handed Legislation

  • FinCEN Releases More Stringent KYC Regulation for Crypto Exchanges

  • SEC Files Suit Against Ripple for Sale of Unregistered Securities

  • Coinbase, Bitstamp, Binance US and Other Exchanges Announce XRP De-listing

  • Ledger Hacked; Exposes Email Addresses and Mailing Addresses


The Trust Revolution

The Trust Revolution

The trust revolution is about putting trust at the base of the pyramid. This is completely upside-down from the way things work now, where trust is assumed because verification is simply impossible. If you go far enough down the rabbit hole, you will eventually find that the emperor has no clothes and that the great Oz is simply an old man behind a curtain. What comes next could shake the world to its very foundation. And I think it all starts and ends with trust. The trust that comes from knowing, not from being forced to comply.

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